Qualcomm hit by the slowdown
By Scott Moritz
Qualcomm (QCOM) joined tech’s growing crowd of downward revisionists as the slumping global economy forced the company to slash its financial targets.
While the San Diego wireless chipmaker turned in a strong fiscal fourth quarter Thursday, Qualcomm like several tech giants – including Cisco (CSCO), Intel (INTC) and Apple (AAPL) – have lowered financial projections as business took a nose dive this fall.
Qualcomm posted adjusted earnings of $1.06 billion or 63 cents a share, a 17% increase over the 54 cent pro forma profit in the year ago period and 3 cents above analysts estimates, according to Thomson First Call.
Sales for the company’s fourth quarter ended in September were $3.3 billion, up $1 billion or 45 % over the same period a year ago. Analysts had anticipated revenue of $2.86 billion.
Similar to Cisco, which saw strong pre-October results yet dire post-October conditions, Qualcomm pulled down its forecast for the current quarter.
“As a result of the credit crisis and the economic uncertainty, our guidance reflects slower end-market device growth for 2009 than previously anticipated,” said CEO Paul Jacobs in a statement.
Looking ahead, Qualcomm cut its December quarter adjusted earnings forecast to a range around 48 cents or 8% below year-ago levels. Sales are now expected to drop 4% on a year-over-year basis to $2.4 billion roughly flat sequentially. Analysts had been looking for earnings of 61 cents on revenue of $2.9 billion.
Qualcomm shares dropped 3% in after-hours trading after closing at $33.05 Thursday.
Qualcomm, which makes components for cell phones and licenses wireless technology, says December-quarter chip shipments will drop to 62.5 million from the 79 million level a year ago. And the company predicts the average selling price for mobile phones will fall to $205 from $211 last year.
Verizon mulls heavily-discounted BlackBerry Storm
By Scott Moritz
Free. That’s Vodafone’s (VOD) recently-unveiled price for the hotly-anticipated touchscreen BlackBerry Storm from Research in Motion (RIM) in the United Kingdom.
In a sign of just how desperate phone companies are to lock customers in to lengthy contracts, Verizon’s (VZ) wireless partner is willing to subsidize the Storm – which sells for about $500 without a calling plan – in order to lure subscribers in England.
Though a final decision has yet to be made, Verizon is considering the same strategy for the Storm’s U.S. debut next month, according to an industry source familiar with the discussions. Another person close to the company says it’s unlikely the Storm will be free.
Verizon declined to comment on its pricing plan for the Storm.
The fact that Verizon is even considering a free phone highlights the competitive pressure created when AT&T (T) started selling a heavily-subsidized Apple (AAPL) iPhone for $199.
Most industry analysts expect the Storm, which has received favorable reviews, to be priced at or below the iPhone.
While Verizon would like to use its exclusive Storm deal to gain an edge in the smartphone market, selling it for free “would be breaking new ground for Verizon,” said Roger Entner, an analyst with Nielsen IAG’s . “It’s likely that they will put it at $150 and maybe $99 if they want to ship massive volumes during the holiday.” At either price, the Storm would be heavily discounted.
Verizon has come up short on blockbuster phones over the past year and a half as the iPhone has become the icon of the smartphone market. AT&T has been a driving force in the U.S. wireless market thanks to the iPhone, which pulls in an average $95 per month. But that drive has also come at a steep price to Ma Bell, which forks over $375 upfront for every iPhone sold. That cost the company $900 million in the third quarter.
For RIM, the Storm represents its biggest step yet into the consumer market as it tries to derail the success of the iPhone. One major challenge is to get devotees of BlackBerry’s physical keyboard to embrace the clickable touchscreen keypad on the Storm. The iPhone’s onscreen keyboard has presented some difficulties for many typists.
So far, Verizon hasn’t had much success with its touchscreen devices. But the Storm, if it’s a hit, could finally establish Verizon as a player in the red-hot touchscreen market. What’s more, it could not only entice new customers, but also convert old lower-paying customers to more expensive contracts. Each Storm subscriber will have to sign up for a BlackBerry e-mail and calling plan, which currently starts at $80 a month.
Motorola delays breakup, cuts jobs
By Scott Moritz
Motorola on Thursday said its plan to break up into two companies is on hold, leading the head of its mobile phone business to outline a new plan for reviving the company’s ailing handset business.
Part of the restructuring plan includes the loss of 3,000 jobs, most from the mobile phone division, a company representative confirmed.
Motorola (MOT), which reported third quarter earnings that beat profit estimates but missed sales targets, said the split up called for by activist investor Carl Icahn will not happen in the third quarter next year as planned. Icahn wasn’t immediately available for comment.
Motorola was down 5% Thursday and has seen its stock fall 72% in the past year as the lack of a successor to its once-hot Razr phone wiped out its sales volume and profits amid a declining economy.
Sanjay Jha, who took over as head of the handset business in August, blamed the economy, the credit freeze and “changes underway” in the mobile phone unit for the breakup delay. Analysts have been critical of the costly breakup plan, seeing it as a distraction that failed to address the underlying problems at the world’s third-largest phone maker.
On a conference call with analysts after earnings were announced, Jha said the company would cut the total number of phones models it produces next year and focus less on its own mobile operating system in favor of systems developed by other companies, including Google’s (GOOG) Android and Microsoft’s (MSFT) Windows Mobile.
Some analysts who have been critical of the company welcomed the new plan.
“Sanjay nailed it,” said Ed Snyder, an analyst with Charter Equity Research. “It was a perfect description of the big problems facing the handset business and an intelligent plan for fixing them. Unfortunately it will be painful.”
Nokia’s ‘iPhone killer’ a 2009 event
By Scott Moritz
With touchscreen phones all the rage, and U.S. telcos following AT&T’s (T) lead of cutting the price of Apple’s (AAPL) iPhone, it would seem Nokia (NOK) will be left out of the smartphone party this year.
The Finnish phone giant won’t have its closely-watched 5800 phone – Nokia’s music-loaded take on the iPhone – available here until sometime in the first half of next year, according to people familiar with the phone. Nokia wasn’t immediately available for comment.
And even when it arrives, Nokia has lacked a big U.S. phone partner that would provide the subsidy necessary to put it under the $200 range. At full price, it will have a hard time making a big splash.
“You could look at it as having a 100% upside,” says Nielson IAG analyst Roger Entner, referring to Nokia’s measly share of the U.S. market. Make that a potential upside of 95.5% since Nokia’s slice of the U.S. market has now fallen a percentage point from year-ago levels to 4.5%.
These numbers were part of Nokia’s overall solid third-quarter performance reported Thursday. Nokia posted an adjusted profit of 44 cents a share, down from the 55 cents it netted last year, but in line with analysts estimates. Sales fell 5% to $16.4 billion from $17.3 billion in the year-ago quarter and below the $17.2 billion street estimate.
After hitting a new four-year low, Nokia shares rebounded a bit Thursday up 4% as investors took some confidence from the fact that it met estimates.
As Nokia predicted, its worldwide market share fell to 38% in the third quarter from 40% in the prior period. The decline, according to Nokia, reflects the company’s unwillingness to cut phone prices amid a heated price war in some regions.
Nokia has managed to grab and hold onto the No.1 phone supplier position by honing its skills at making low- and medium-priced phones for a global audience. This focus on the mainstream has caused Nokia to be consistently late to fashion trends like flip phones, ultrathin designs and now touchscreens.
After a strong start in the smartphone wars with over half the global market in 2007, Nokia has dropped to a 35% slice in the third quarter from 48% of the market in the second quarter, according to Morgan Stanley analyst Jim Dawson. The alarming sequential drop is a reflection of how strong rivals like Apple and Research in Motion (RIMM) have grown. The smartphone market will get a new challenger later this month with the arrival of Google’s (GOOG) Android-powered G1 phone at T-Mobile.
But while 2008 is not going to be a big year here for Nokia, the trends – aside from the slumping global economy – are promising overall.
Each player comes from with a different specialty to the smartphone market, says Entner. Apple and Google aim for a strong Internet experience and RIM’s BlackBerry Storm hopes to capitalizes on its successful e-mail background with a touchscreen design. “Nokia comes from a mobile phone approach,” says Entner.
“Nokia sees the phone as an integrated device.” says Entner. In the past three years, Nokia has acquired mobile e-mail shop Intellisync, GPS mapper Navteq and digital media delivery system Loudeye in an effort to control the delivery of services like e-mail, navigation, photography, music, videos, games and the Internet.
Of course, all this will matter more in the U.S. when Nokia can deliver the device.
The Google phone upclose and personal
By Scott Moritz
NEW YORK – A brief hands-on experience with the Google (GOOG) G1 phone gives the impression that after a slew of touchscreen duds from other telcos, Apple’s (AAPL) iPhone finally has a worthy rival.
The highly-anticipated HTC phone for T-Mobile (DT) was unveiled in New York Tuesday, and kiosks with technical experts were set up so media people could run the first Android-powered phone through some tricks. T-Mobile will start selling the phone Oct. 22 for $179 with a two-year contract.
The G1 has a large touchscreen, nearly the same size as the iPhone. But unlike the iPhone, there is a physical keyboard under the slide-open screen. People familiar with the iPhone will find the G1 a little lighter and thicker. The G1, for you ultra-thin fans, is about 3/4 of an inch thick, downright portly compared to the svelte half-inch iPhone.
Navigating the screen is fairly easy and there are several ways to move around. The touchscreen has a swipe capability that allows you to flick up and down or side to side. There is also a small trackball-type button at the bottom of the phone for scrolling.
The 3G network coverage at the show – only 16 cities currently have T-Mobile’s 3G networks – was fast. Google’s homepage loaded in five seconds and Google search results also popped up in five seconds. Sites like CNNMoney and Fortune took about 17 seconds to load. That is a fairly standard 3G speed.
Calls worked, and the sound was clear, for those considering the device as a phone primarily.
It is clear, however, that with Google’s support, Android and HTC have made a solid Internet device that combines web access with technology like GPS and software like Google Maps. Applications like Compass Mode, as Fortune’s Philip Elmer-Dewitt explains, gives you a 360-degree street view, a trick that has been limited to PCs until now.
The phone has so-called push e-mail through its Gmail service. As Fortune reported Monday, T-Mobile was considering a low-tier price plan that would give G1 users free e-mail without a data plan. T-Mobile technology chief Cole Brodman says the company looked at a few different pricing plans, but decided that the e-mail only data plan “doesn’t do the device justice.”
The G1 will have two monthly price options, $25 for data plan limited to 400 text messages or $35 for unlimited data. That’s compares with AT&T’s $30 and $45 data plans for the iPhone.
HTC’s touchscreen has some familiar features, like a shifting orientation if the user tips the phone on its side. It also has a zoom-in function that is done with plus and minus buttons on the screen rather than the two finger pinch or separate approach on the iPhone.
The G1 allows dragging and dropping of pictures and text, a feature the iPhone still lacks. The music player was easy to use and there is a direct link to Amazon’s music store.
Overall, and first impressions being what they are, the G1 stands well above disappointing touchscreens like Verizon’s (VZ) LG Voyager or Sprint’s (S) Samsung Instinct. And until Research in Motion (RIMM) delivers its touchscreen Storm BlackBerry, T-Mobile’s G1 is the toughest competition yet to the iconic iPhone.
T-Mobile’s Google phone may offer free e-mail
By Scott Moritz
Android lands at T-Mobile Tuesday, and as part of the effort to deliver the Google phone to the mobile market, T-Mobile is considering including free e-mail access.
The new Android-powered phone will have Google’s (GOOG) Gmail service built in, and T-Mobile executives are considering offering access to Gmail free, without the need for a data plan, says one person close to the discussions.
The HTC-manufactured T-Mobile phone will be the first of the hotly-anticipated Android-operated handsets, and one of several new challengers to Apple’s (AAPL) iPhone. The Android project was created by Google to cultivate an open application platform to operate next-generation mobile phones. T-Mobile – a unit of Deutshe Telekom (DT) - is expected to unveil the phone during a press conference at 10:30 ET Tuesday, and offer it for sale later this fall.
Analysts see the Google phone as the beginning of an important lead in mobile Internet advertising through ads appearing on Android powered phones. Sandeep Aggarwal, an analyst with Collins Stewart, estimates that the phone will generate $5 billion in incremental revenue for Google by 2011.
Should T-Mobile decide to offer free Gmail access, it would be seen as a big counter move to Research in Motion’s (RIMM) BlackBerry e-mail service, which costs $15 a month extra. And if telcos embrace Google’s ad-supported free e-mail, it could help drive Google’s ultimate aim to spread its successful desktop advertising business to mobile phones.
The move to provide free Gmail has risks, however.
T-Mobile could undercut its own data revenue stream from BlackBerry subscribers if users trade in their Curves and Pearls for the Android phone. But T-Mobile, the No.4 wireless shop, needs an attention-getting strategy like free e-mail to help set itself apart from bigger players like AT&T (T), Verizon (VZ) and Sprint (S).
Google referred calls for comment to T-Mobile and a T-Mobile representative could not provide an immediate comment.
As for the HTC Android phone itself, one user who got an early trial described the slide out keyboard as a little awkward for some typing tasks. The browsing quality however was “better than BlackBerry and close to the iPhone.”
Nokia offers optimistic forecast
By Scott Moritz
Delivering its second-quarter earnings Thursday, Nokia (NOK) offered a glimmer of optimism in an otherwise gloomy outlook for the tech market by raising its growth forecast ever so slightly.
Fueled by roaring sales in the rapidly developing so-called BRIC regions – Brazil, Russia, India and China – Nokia adjusted its worldwide mobile phone sales target to 10% or more growth this year from a more squishy “approximately 10%” level.
Nokia posted a 61 percent drop in second-quarter profit from a year ago to $1.75 billion due to 2007 gains on a joint venture. The adjusted second quarter profit was 58 cents per share, up from 43 cents a year ago and above the 56 cents analysts were expecting. Sales were $20.7 billion, up from $16.9 billion in the year-ago quarter and better than the $20 billion Wall Street expected.
The company sold 122 million phones in the second quarter for an average price of $117 each. Analysts had expected about Nokia to sell about 120 million phones at a $120 a piece.
The stock market cheered Nokia’s second quarter results, sending the stock up 7%, as anxiety eased briefly over the waning growth in wireless. Analysts gave the company high marks for delivering solid numbers despite carrying a stale product line up and broadening economic slowdown. If growth continues in theBRIC regions and some of Nokia’s new phones take off, the thinking is that Nokia will come out shining in a year where the rest of tech has been a wreck.
The Finnish phone giant, which holds about 40% of the total wireless phone market, has been able to avoid the economic fallout from the bust of the mortgage boom in Europe largely by pedaling lower-priced phones in hot new wireless markets.
On a conference call with analysts Thursday, Nokia executives pointed to countries like India, where the company had its “best period ever” as new phone buyers were signing up at a rate of seven million a month. The surge in India helped offset a slight cooling in China, where sales fell 16% from the first quarter level.
The executives also said they saw strong competition in the smartphone market in the second quarter. Nokia was caught flatfooted as it had few new phones to compete with Apple’s (AAPL) iPhone or the international expansion of Research in Motion’s (RIMM) BlackBerry. But looking ahead, Nokia says it expects to launch ten new smartphones in the coming months to help revive its high-end lineup. And despite seeing no improvement in Europe and only a one percentage point gain to 5% market share in the United States, Nokia was upbeat about its prospects for the remainder of 2008.
“We have good confidence as we look out here to the end of the year,” CFO Rick Simonson said on the call.
It also doesn’t hurt that Nokia has watched Motorola (MOT), once its top competitor, hit the rocks.
Sprint shares rise on takeover rumors
By Michal Lev-Ram
Just as one high-profile buyout bid is wrapping up, another may be beginning.
Deutsche Telekom AG (DT), the parent company of T-Mobile, is considering a bid to acquire Sprint Nextel (S), according to news reports Monday.
Shares of Sprint were up nearly 6% on the news, while Deutsche Telekom was down about 1.4%.
While Germany-based Deutsche Telekom has nearly 120 million customers worldwide, T-Mobile is the smallest of the top four mobile operators in the United States, with just 28.7 million subscribers. A combination with Sprint (which has about 54 million customers) would make T-Mobile the largest U.S. wireless carrier, ahead of rivals Verizon Wireless (VZ) and AT&T (T).
Last year, Deutsche Telekom said it would look at international acquisitions as part of a new growth strategy its CEO called “Focus, fix and grow.”
“We want to use our expertise to be able to grow in mobile communications, including the possibility of acquisitions, based on our strict business criteria,” Rene Obermann, the company’s chief executive, said in March 2007.
But while Sprint’s flagging share price, coupled with the benefits of its subscriber base and spectrum holdings, may make it an attractive target, some analysts say a buyout is unlikely to happen anytime soon.
Sprint has been struggling with customer service issues and managing the two networks it currently runs, and has also run into problems with the delayed launch of yet another next-generation network called WiMAX, now expected to roll out later this summer. All three of Sprint’s network technologies are different from T-Mobile’s GSM infrastructure, which means they’re compatible with different phones. Running all four could be a logistical nightmare for Deutsche Telekom.
Citigroup analyst Michael Rollins predicts that there’s a 25% chance of a Sprint acquisition — not just by Deutsche Telekom — in the next year.
“…The problems at Sprint are still deep-rooted and may deter a buyer in the near-term…” Rollins said Monday in a written report, adding that other potential obstacles to a deal going through include issues with regulatory approval and the difficulties of integrating Sprint and T-Mobile’s different networks.
A Deutsche Telekom spokesperson could not be immediately reached for comment. Sprint spokesperson Leigh Horner declined to comment on “speculation.”
Also on Monday, T-Mobile announced the New York City launch of its 3G network. It is the last of the top four carriers to roll out the technology, which provides customers with a higher-speed network well-suited for data services.
Sprint’s Dan Hesse stars in new TV commercial
By Michal Lev-Ram
Sprint CEO Dan Hesse has been in office for just three months, but he’s already starring in the company’s latest television commercial — an ad for its new unlimited pricing plan, which offers both voice and data for $100 a month.
The black-and-white ad is the first in Sprint’s (S) new branding campaign, which will emphasize a more “immediate approach” to customer service and highlight the “capabilities” of the company’s products, according to a release issued by the company early Monday.
Last month, Hesse told Fortune that his number one priority is improving customer service, followed by rebuilding Sprint’s brand. The key to the company’s new identity, he said, would be building on its wireless data services like text messaging, Web surfing, videos and music and navigation.
“Every carrier in America does voice well — it’s really not a differentiator anymore,” Hesse said in a phone interview late last month. “You need to define what position you can occupy that is different and then execute around that.”
Sprint’s unlimited “Simply Everything” plan was announced after Verizon Wireless (VZ), AT&T (T) and T-Mobile unveiled similar plans. But Sprint’s was the only one to include full data services in addition to unlimited calls.
But even Hesse, who implies that the new unlimited plan is revolutionary in the new ads, admits that “Simply Everything” is not enough to fix the company’s many problems. Last month, after Sprint posted a fourth-quarter loss of $29.5 billion and a continued decline in subscriber numbers, Hesse told investors that a turnaround will not happen for “many quarters.”
Sprint launches unlimited voice and data plan
By Michal Lev-Ram
Sprint announced early Thursday that it would offer an unlimited voice and data plan, one week after rivals Verizon Wireless, AT&T and T-Mobile launched plans that let users make as many calls as they want for $100.
Dubbed “Simply Everything,” Sprint’s (S) new service will also cost $100 a month, but unlike its competitors’ plans, the third-largest carrier is offering unlimited data services in addition to unlimited calls. Analysts had speculated that Sprint would try to compete with other carriers by offering a lower-priced plan for about $60. Instead, the company is offering more features for the same rate.
“This is not so much about price, it’s about differentiating our company,” Sprint chief executive officer Dan Hesse said Thursday morning during a conference call with analysts. “We’ve let our business get too complex, and we’re trying to make it simpler.”
In addition to unlimited nationwide calling, Sprint’s new plan will give users unlimited access to data services like text messaging, e-mail and Web surfing in addition to the company’s mobile TV, music and navigation services. It will be available on all the company’s networks — both CDMA and iDEN — starting Friday.
Verizon was the first to announce its service last week, but AT&T and T-Mobile followed just hours later. T-Mobile’s unlimited plan includes “all-you-can-eat” text and picture messaging, while AT&T (T) and Verizon (VZ) are offering unlimited domestic calls only. The unlimited plans were a first among major carriers, as wireless consumers typically pick rate plans based on how many minutes they think they’ll use per month and are stuck with paying steep fees (as much as 45 cents per minute) if they go over their allotted airtime.
Sprint, which posted a fourth-quarter loss of $29.5 billion Thursday, says it is hoping its new voice and data plan will help differentiate the company.
But even CEO Hesse admitted that “Simply Everything” won’t be enough to turn things around. Sprint faces significant challenges, including integrating Nextel’s network and repairing its poor customer service image. What’s more, it is bleeding customers — the company reported that it lost 683,000 subscribers in the fourth quarter.
“Our business is not performing well right now because we have not provided the right customer experience,” Hesse said Thursday. According to the CEO, a turnaround will not happen “for many quarters.”
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