Cablevision considers a dividend and spin-off
By Scott Moritz
Cablevision’s Dolan family is weighing its options again. But while the chilly credit market puts some boundaries on the scope of the Long Island cable company’s options, some of the more likely moves include a dividend and a spinoff of its Rainbow Media unit, say analysts.
“We arrive at the view that given the current state of the credit markets and $1.7 billion in maturities [Cablevision faces] next year, the company’s options are fairly limited,” Goldman Sach’s analysts wrote in a research note Tuesday.
Shares of Cablevision (CVC), the No.6 cable provider, shot up 7% Tuesday on word that the company was exploring moves to enhance shareholder value. Holding about 20% of the company’s stock, the Dolan family has a keen eye on trying to extract more value for the stockholders. The Dolans have made three failed bids to take the company private, but with the lack of big financing available at the moment, another take-private move is probably not in the works.
Most likely is the sale or spin off of Rainbow, the holding company behind TV programming including AMC, WE and IFC. In February, the Dolans were shopping the media unit around but target buyers like Liberty Media (LINTA) didn’t bite.
If Cablevision and its bankers can’t find a buyer for Rainbow, the company may spin the unit off to shareholders and, with the sale, toss in new debt to finance a dividend, say analysts.
“We believe the company could institute a regular dividend on the order of $1 per share,” Goldman’s analysts say. The $1 annual dividend would be within reach, costing Cablevision about $280 million, or 34% of the company’s free cash flow in 2008, according to Goldman.
A bigger special dividend is less likely since the company would have to seek financing to make a sizeable one-time payout.
The move comes as Cablevision, along with Comcast (CMCSA), Verizon (VZ) and AT&T (T), all face increasing expansion costs and cutthroat competition.
Wireless auction update: $3.2 billion and counting
By Michal Lev-Ram
Round three of the year’s most anticipated auction – the Federal Communication Commission’s sale of the 700 MHz spectrum, currently used for analog television – closed Friday.
Since Thursday, bidders have put up a total $3.2 billion in what has been called one of the most significant spectrum auctions in United States history. That’s because the FCC has mandated that whoever wins the so-called C block of the 700 MHz band, which is particularly well-suited for broadband Internet, must make the new network available to all mobile devices. That could eventually upend the U.S’s tightly-controlled wireless landscape, where carriers currently rule which phones and services consumers can use on their networks.
There are four other blocks of spectrum up for sale, including one that will be used for a nationwide public safety network. Over 200 companies qualified to bid for the five blocks, including Google (GOOG), AT&T (T), Verizon Wireless (VZ), EchoStar Communications (DISH) and Alltel Wireless (AT). But because it is a “blind” auction, we won’t know who the winners of each round are – just the amounts of each bid – until the auction has ended and the minimum asking price for each block (a total of at least $10 billion) has been met. We won’t even know how many rounds there will be, as that’s entirely up to the number and amount of bids and the FCC. That means the auction could drag on for weeks or even months.
While the identity of bidders will be kept secret, the public can monitor the process – the number and value of bids – on the FCC’s website. So far the largest single bid was a $1.49 billion offer for a 50-state package of the C block of spectrum. Stearns analyst Robert Peck wrote in a note Thursday that he thinks there are at least two big bidders in the race for the nationwide C block airwaves. The minimum bid for round four is now set to $1.79 billion, still far below the $4.6 billion minimum reserved by the FCC for this portion.
The ongoing auction and the C block in particular has garnered lots of attention because of Google’s involvement – the search engine lobbied hard for the open access requirements, and said it is committed to putting up the minimum asking price ($4.6 billion) for the C block section of the airwaves. But there have been concerns that the recent economic downturn could negatively affect the auction by making it hard for newcomers to come up with the cash needed for minimum bids.
According to the FCC’s site, there will be one more round today and then bidding will start up again Monday morning. As for the actual spectrum, don’t hold your breath – it won’t be available until February 2009, when TVs make the switch to digital.
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