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April 18, 2008, 2:56 pm

EA and Take-Two back to sparring

GTAIVBy Yi-Wyn Yen

Watching the latest saga between video game publishers Electronic Arts and Take-Two is like witnessing two rival tennis pros throw flowers at one another.

On Friday, EA (ERTS) and Take-Two (TTWO) engaged in a press release battle that did not bring them any closer to reaching a deal.

EA extended its $2 billion tender offer to purchase the maker of the highly-anticipated Grand Theft Auto IV by 30 days. Though the all-cash bid remains the same, EA lowered its per-share price to $25.74 from $26 to reflect a dilution of additional shares that will go to Take-Two’s management. Take-Two closed at $25.98 on Friday.

EA’s deadline for Take-Two shareholders to accept the offer was originally set to expire at midnight Friday, but so far the gaming giant has won just 8% of the total shares it needs. In a statement, EA said it “continues to believe that the offer price is full and fair.”

Shortly after, Take-Two retaliated by firing off its own release. The company’s chairman, Strauss Zelnick, called the 6.4 million shares that were tendered “minuscule.” On Thursday evening at the annual shareholder meeting, Take-Two shareholders backed a proposal to give ZelnickMedia, the consulting firm that manages Take-Two, 1.5 million shares in restricted stock. Zelnick said that was “indisputable evidence” that its stockholders think its share value is “superior to the EA offer.”

EA has argued that the vote to back Take-Two’s management does not reflect the majority of Take-Two’s shareholders because they weren’t eligible to vote. Only those who held the stock prior to Feb. 19 were allowed to attend the meeting. Analysts estimate that between 50% to 70% of Take-Two’s stock has been sold since EA went public with its takeover bid on Feb. 24. An EA spokesman likened rewarding ZelnickMedia, which is expected to get a windfall if the company gets sold, to “having your last employer give you a million dollar bonus that your new boss is forced to pay.”

Take-Two refuses to talk with EA until after April 30, the day after GTA IV launches. Analysts expect the company will sell roughly 15 million to 20 million copies through 2009. Take-Two’s board unanimously rejected EA’s offer because it was “highly opportunistic and poorly timed” to get the most out of GTA, Strauss said at the shareholder meeting.

The alternative for EA is to simply walk away from the deal. But analysts say that is an unlikely scenario. They still anticipate the deal to go through, though at a slightly higher share price between $26 to 28. Take-Two shareholders have until May 16 to consider the tender offer.

Take 2’s stock when it was in the teens ALREADY ACCOUNT FOR GTA4 ESTIMATED SALES. T2 stock went up because of the EA offer. 60% increase for stocks in a few days is just insane especially considering the cost per share.

Not selling T2 stocks is finacially .. umm.. stupid. It takes years for T2 stocks to rise 60% on its own. If EA backs away, expect T2 stocks to drop significantly.

GTA4 would be “nice” & all to add to EA’s portfolio, but it’s T2’s 2K Sports franchises that EA is really after or rather, kill off. 2K Sports have been knicking away at EA’s Madden, NBA, and NHL franchise. Sport games is EA’s big money.

Posted By Ken, Sacramento, CA : April 21, 2008 12:40 am

GTA4 is going to be huge, I hope EA doesnt end up buying take two, theyll just ruin a great company. I agree with the above post, 35 is a fair price considering how much the stock will jump after the release, i know im buying a copy of GTA4 the first day!
EA is just trying to have their cake and eat it too. Take Two isnt stupid, they know what they have, a friggin gold mine!

Posted By Jim : April 18, 2008 5:39 pm

What happens after GTA IV? Sure Take Two has a few strong titles but you can’t count on releasing a new GTA every few years to get a paycheck. No, this deal will go through, if EA can be patient. If not then they will have to pony up some cash.

Posted By Clint, San Diego, CA : April 18, 2008 5:03 pm

take 2 is run by a bunch of jokers who dont know s**t about business.

Posted By new york : April 18, 2008 4:38 pm

Wow seems like EA is trying to be a bully in this situation. GTA IV is going to sell millions when it launches April 29th. And it seems EA is trying to low-ball them with a take over of 25.74 a share. Just wait when GTA IV launches and sell millions, EA is going to withdraw their offer and end up emberassing themselves.

Posted By Skyy Phan , Orlando, FLorida : April 18, 2008 3:53 pm

“a slightly higher stock price” will not be sufficient.

IMO the price would need to be North of $35 per share for ERTS to have a realistic shot at acquiring TTWO.

Anything less makes it clearly worth complete support for TTWO to remain independent as within one to trwo years the shares will very likely be North of $40.

Posted By Anonymous : April 18, 2008 3:17 pm
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